from ALSTOM (EPA:ALO)
ALSTOM SA : Half-year 2024/25 presentation
Disclaimer
● This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are based on current plans and forecasts of Alstom’s management. Such forward-looking statements are relevant to the current scope of activity and are by their nature subject to a number of important risks and uncertainty factors (such as those described in the documents filed by Alstom with the French AMF) that could cause actual results to differ from the plans, objectives and expectations expressed in such forwardlooking statements. These such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and Alstom undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
● This presentation does not constitute or form part of a prospectus or any offer or invitation for the sale or issue of, or any offer or inducement to purchase or subscribe for, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any shares or other securities in the Company in France, the United Kingdom, the United States or any other jurisdiction. Any offer of the Company’s securities may only be made in France pursuant to a prospectus having received the visa from the AMF or, outside France, pursuant to an offering document prepared for such purpose. The information does not constitute any form of commitment on the part of the Company or any other person. Neither the information nor any other written or oral information made available to any recipient, or its advisers will form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. In particular, in furnishing the information, the Company, the Banks, their affiliates, shareholders, and their respective directors, officers, advisers, employees or representatives undertake no obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information.
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Agenda
Highlights of the first half of fiscal year 2024/25
Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chief Executive Officer
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H1 2024/25 financial results
Bernard Delpit, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer
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Conclusion
Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chief Executive Officer
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
Free Cash Flow at €(138) million benefiting from commercial activity
Confirmation of FY 2024/25 outlook
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© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
3-year pipeline at ~€200bn: Asia-Pacific and Middle-East growth
€7.3bn orders in Q2: Landmark wins in Germany, Australia and France and good flow of small orders
Strong backlog with confirmed gross margin improvement trajectory
Backlog stratification – Gross margin evolution
17.9% 18.1% 18.3% Gross margin on backlog
ex-AT Backlog ex-AT Backlog ex-AT Backlog Group Backlog Group Backlog Group Backlog Group Backlog Group Backlog Backlog figures subject to FX evolution
Integration process finishing, amidst rising supply chain challenges
CONTINUED OPERATIONAL PROGRESS …HINDERED BY SUPPLY-CHAIN CHALLENGES
• All sites with Alstom’s tools and processes by year-end • Inflationary pressures largely mitigated through escalation clauses on new orders • Demonstrated agility in managing electronic component shortages • Quality indicators and Net Promoter Score improving | • Supply chain is the primary cause when Rolling Stock contracts delays occur • Suppliers' bottlenecks and capacity issues following orders peak in recent years • Some emerging technologies need to be stabilized |
Relentless effort on optimising execution of all major projects
Belgium commuters | AMTRAK ✓ Progress on testing ✓ Expecting FRA decision |
PARIS PROJECTS DELIVERED MULTIPLE LEGACY PROJECTS CONTINUOUS EFFORTS ON AS PLANNED SUCCESSFULLY TURNED AROUND SELECTED PROJECTS
Production shift towards better margin projects with the end of Aventra in Derby
Quantity of cars produced per quarter
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FY 2022/23 FY 2023/24 FY 2024/25
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
H1 orders boosted by strong Q2
Services and Signaling exceed 50% of order intake
ORDERS H1 2024/25 (in €bn)
● Margin and cash on order intake supporting mid-term trajectory | ||||
H1 2023/24 H1 2024/25 ● Book-to-bill 1.25, backlog at €94 Services & Signaling Rolling Stock Systems | .4bn | |||
Orders mix evolution supporting midterm targets |
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete
provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited. 13
Group organic growth in line with guidance Double digit Services growth since merger
aEBIT margin improvement in line with FY 2024/25 trajectory
([1]in € million) | H1 2023/24 | H1 2024/25 | Evolution |
Sales | 8,443 | 8,775 | +3.9% |
Cost of Sales | (7,278) | (7,547) | +3.7% |
Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA¹ As a % of sales | 1,165 13.8% | 1,228 14.0% | +20bps |
Research and development expenses before PPA[2] As a % of sales | (254) 3.0% | (256) 2.9% | (10)bps |
Selling & Administrative expenses As a % of sales | (538) 6.4% | (528) 6.0% | (40)bps |
Net interest in equity investees pickup[3] | 65 | 71 | +9.2% |
Adjusted EBIT ¹ | 438 | 515 | +17.6% |
Adjusted EBIT margin¹ | 5.2% | 5.9% | +70bps |
Profit improvement coming from volume and cost savings initiatives
aEBIT (in %)
Improved EBIT drive Net income increase
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o/w Integration costs €51m Legal fees and others €31m
Net interest decrease by (€24m) Hedging, bank fees & others increase by + €33m
ETR 37%
1 This mainly includes Chinese joint-ventures
2 Definition in appendix
Structural FCF seasonality mitigated by improved working capital phasing
From EBIT* to Free Cash Flow (in € million)
Capex / Cap
* EBIT Before PPA and impairment
(1) Change in Working Capital (Trade + Contract working capital change) for €(420)m corresponds to the €(448)million changes in working capital resulting from operating activities disclosed in the condensed interim consolidated financial statements from which the €31 million variations of restructuring provisions and €(2) million of variation of Tax working capital have been excluded. .
Trade Working Capital Seasonality on inventories, discipline maintained on overdues and payables
(in € million / days of sales) | 30 September 2023 | 31 March 2024 | 30 September 2024 | ||
Inventories | 4,216 | 91 | 3,818 79 | 4,204 | 85 |
Trade payables | (4,223) | (91) | (3,444) (71) | (3,474) | (71) |
Trade receivables | 3,019 | 65 | 2,997 62 | 3,093 | 63 |
Other assets/ liabilities | (2,107) | (45) | (1,705) (35) | (1,630) | (33) |
Trade Working Capital1,2 | 905 | 20 | 1,666 34 | 2,193 | 45 |
Inventories increase due to usual H1 seasonality
Trade payables and trade receivables maintained at stable level in H1
1. Definition in appendix
2. Excluding restructuring provisions and corporate tax changes
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Contract Working Capital
Larger quantity of projects in startup phase
(in € million / days of sales) Contract assets | 30 September 2023 | 31 March 2024 | 30 September 2024 | ||
5,369 | 116 | 4,973 103 | 5,476 | 111 | |
Contract liabilities | (6,958) | (150) | (7,995) (166) | (8,538) | (174) |
Current provisions Of which Risks on contracts | (1,750) (1,141) | (38) | (1,612) (33) (981) | (1,583) (943) | (32) |
Contract Working Capital1 | (3,339) | (72) | (4,634) (96) | (4,645) | (94) |
Net Contract Assets / Liabilities stable since March 2024 at (63) days of sales Provisions on contract risks reducing as planned
1 Definition in appendix
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Net financial debt reduced by €2,067m to €927m following deleveraging plan
31 March 2024 30 September 2024 Net cash/(debt) Net cash/(debt)
1. Sale of TMH for €75m executed during FY 2023/24. Rights issue, hybrid issuance and sale of US conventional Signaling net of advisory fees.
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete 21 provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
Short-term debt reimbursed, strong increase in Cash & cash equivalents
CASH, CASH EQ. and S/T DEBT (IN € MILLION) STABLE OUTSTANDING BONDS (IN € MILLION)
(2,000)● No financial covenants and fixed coupons on all bonds
● No planned redemption before October 2026 ● ~€869m increase in Cash equivalents
● ~€1.2b reimbursement of short-term debt during H1
FY 2024/25 outlook and mid-term ambitions confirmed
Contacts & Agenda
Martin VAUJOUR
VP Investor Relations
Estelle MATURELL ANDINO Deputy Head Investor Relations
investor.relations@alstomgroup.com
Financial Calendar
14 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in Paris - ODDO | Paris, FRANCE | |
15 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in London - Jefferies | London, UK | |
18 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in NYC – CITI | NYC, USA | |
19 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in Chicago – CITI | Chicago, USA | |
19 November | Forum by Market Solutions 2024 - CIC | Paris, FRANCE | |
20 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in Toronto – JP Morgan | Toronto, CANADA | |
21 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in Los Angeles – Redburn | Los Angeles, USA | |
22 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in San Francisco – Redburn | San Francisco, USA | |
25, 26 & 29 November | H1 FY 24/25 “virtual”roadshow in Europe – Deutsche bank | VIRTUAL | |
26 November | Investir Day – Les Echos Le Parisien | Paris, France | |
27 November | H1 FY 24/25 “virtual”roadshow in Singapore, Hong-Kong Australia – Macquarie & Kepler Cheuvreux | VIRTUAL | |
27 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in Dublin – Deutsche bank | Dublin, IRELAND | |
27 November | The Premium Review conference – Bernstein by Societe Generale | Paris, FRANCE | |
28 November | H1 FY 24/25 roadshow in Switzerland – Deutsche bank | Zurich/Geneva, SWITZERLAND | |
29 November | H1 FY 24/25 “Fireside chat” – Kepler Cheuvreux | VIRTUAL | |
3 December | Annual European Industrials & Autos conference 2024 – Goldman Sachs | London, UK | |
4 December | Alstom Sricity site visit | Sricity, INDIA |
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter
Financial Calendar
5 December | One-Stop-shop Brussels – Kepler Cheuvreux | Brussels, BELGIUM |
9 January 2025 | ODDO BHF Forum 2025 in Lyon | Lyon, FRANCE |
5 June 2025 | CEO conference – BNPP Exane | Paris, FRANCE |
12 June 2025 | CEO conference – JP Morgan | London, UK |
Equity in € million
3 13
1,723 | (41 | (2 | (7 | 10,503 | |||||||||
8,778 9,11 | 7 | ||||||||||||
March 2024 Capital raise Movements in other Net income Change in controlling Share based payments Dividends September 2024 and Hybrid Bond comprehensive income interests and others
H1 2024/25 backlog by region and product line
Backlog breakdown by region (in € million) Backlog breakdown by product line (in € million)
Asia Pacific Systems
Americas €13,058m €8,080m
14%
Rolling stock
Europe €41,398m
€57,17 m 44%
60%
H1 2024/25 Sales by region and product line
Sales breakdown by region (in € million) Sales breakdown by product line (in € million)
Asia Pacific €1,312m 9%
Signaling €1,247m
14% Europe
Americas €1,813m€4,911m
21%56%
Rolling stock €4,531m Services €2,197m
52%25%
Africa, Middle East &
Central Asia €739m
8%
Systems €800m
Sales by currency
Currencies | H1 2024/25 as a % of sales | |
EUR | 47.1% | |
GBP | 9.3% | |
USD | 8.9% | |
CAD | 4.7% | |
INR | 4.4% | |
AUD | 4.9% | |
SEK | 2.8% | |
MXN | 3.4% | |
ZAR | 3.1% | |
BRL | 1.9% | |
KZT | 1.4% | |
SGD | 1.6% | |
Currencies below 1% of sales | 6.4% |
Bombardier Transportation PPA provisional amortisation plan
(in € million) | As per P&L Booking 1 |
FY 2020/21 | (71) |
FY 2021/22 | (428) |
FY 2022/23 | (436) |
FY 2023/24 | (357) |
FY 2024/25 | (371) |
FY 2025/26 (264) | |
FY 2026/27 | (213) |
FY 2027/28 | (203) |
FY 2028/29 | (166) |
FY 2029/30 | (139) |
FY 2030/31 | (107) |
FY 2031/32 | (97) |
FY 2032/33 | (95) |
FY 2033/34 | (47) |
Beyond | (151) |
● The Gross PPA amortisation plan will be subject to FX evolution in future years or subject to potential impairments
1. Excludes PPA other than related to the purchase of Bombardier Transportation
Bridge consideration – From Enterprise Value to Equity Value
(in € million) | H1 2024/25 | |
Total Gross debt, incl. lease obligations | (1) | 3,473 |
Pension liabilities net of prepaid and deferred tax asset related to pensions | (2) | 770 |
Non controlling interest | (3) | 110 |
Cash and cash equivalents | (4) | (1,789) |
Other current financial assets | (4) | (71) |
Other non-current financial assets | (5) | (85) |
Net deferred tax liability / (asset) | (6) | (680) |
Investments in associates & JVs, excluding Chinese JVs | (7) | (112) |
Non-consolidated Investments | (8) | (75) |
Bridge | 1,541 |
(1) Long-term and short-term debt and Leases (Note 20), excluding the lease to a London metro operator for €87m due to matching financial asset (Notes 14 and 20 in the Financial Notes)
(2) As per Note 22 (in the Financial Notes) net of €63m of deferred tax allocated to accruals for employees benefit costs (3) As per balance sheet
(4) As per balance sheet, adjusted with the deposit for the NMTC loan for €26m (Note 20 in the Financial Notes)
(5) As per balance sheet – excluding assets related to pensions for €341m, long term contract receivables for €114m and the deposit for the NMTC loan for €26m
(6) Deferred Tax asset and Liabilities - as per balance sheet net of €63m of deferred tax allocated to accruals for employees benefit costs (7) JVs - to the extent they are not included in equity pickup / FCF, ie excluding Chinese JVs.
(8) Non-consolidated investments as per balance sheet
Reconciliation between consolidated income statement and the MD&A management view as of 30 September 2024
(in € million) | Total Consolidated Financial Statements (GAAP) | Adjustments (1) | (2) | Total Consolidated Financial Statements (MD&A view) |
30 September 2024 | ||||
Sales Cost of Sales Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA & impairment (1) R&D expenses Selling expenses Administrative expenses Equity pick-up Adjusted EBIT (1) Other income / (expenses) Equity pick-up (reversal) EBIT / EBIT before PPA & impairment (1) Financial income (expenses) Pre-tax income Income tax Charge Share in net income of equity-accounted investments Net profit (loss) from continued operations Net profit (loss) attributable to non controlling interests (-) Net profit (loss) from continued operations (Group share) / Adjusted Net Profit (loss) (1) Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) & impairment net of corresponding tax effect Net profit (loss) from discontinued operations | 8,775 (7,702) 1,073 (284) (180) (348) - 261 (62) - 199 (107) 92 (81) 54 65 (10) 55 - (2) | 155 155 28 - - 183 - 183 183 (20) 6 169 169 (169) | - 71 71 (71) - - - - | 8,775 (7,547) 1,228 (256) (180) (348) 71 515 (62) (71) 382 (107) 275 (101) 60 234 (10) 224 (169) (2) |
Net profit (loss) (Group share) 53 - | - 53 |
Adjustments as of 30 September 2024:
1. Impact of business combinations: amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the PPA, including net income of equity accounted investments, and including corresponding tax effect;
2. Reclassification of share in net income of the equityaccounted investments when these are considered to be part of operating activities of the Group
Reconciliation between consolidated income statement and the MD&A management view as of 30 September 2023
(in € million) | Total Consolidated Financial Statements (GAAP) | Adjustments (1) | (2) | Total Consolidated Financial Statements (MD&A view) |
30 September 2023 | ||||
Sales Cost of Sales Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA & impairment (1) R&D expenses Selling expenses Administrative expenses Equity pick-up Adjusted EBIT (1) Other income / (expenses) Equity pick-up (reversal) EBIT / EBIT before PPA & impairment (1) Financial income (expenses) Pre-tax income Income tax Charge Share in net income of equity-accounted investments Net profit (loss) from continued operations Net profit (loss) attributable to non controlling interests (-) Net profit (loss) from continued operations (Group share) / Adjusted Net Profit (loss) (1) Purchase Price Allocation (PPA) & impairment net of corresponding tax effect Net profit (loss) from discontinued operations | 8,443 (7,432) 1,011 (284) (180) (358) - 189 (98) - 91 (98) (7) (28) 48 13 (12) 1 - - | 154 154 30 - - 184 - 184 184 (16) 5 173 173 (173) | - 65 65 (65) - - - - | 8,443 (7,278) 1,165 (254) (180) (358) 65 438 (98) (65) 275 (98) 177 (44) 53 186 (12) 174 (173) - |
Net profit (loss) (Group share) 1 - | - 1 |
Adjustments as of 30 September 2023:
1. Impact of business combinations: amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the PPA, including net income of equity accounted investments, and including corresponding tax effect;
2. Reclassification of share in net income of the equityaccounted investments when these are considered to be part of operating activities of the Group
definitions (1/3)
This section presents financial indicators used by the Group that are not defined by accounting standard setters.
• Orders received
A new order is recognised as an order received only when the contract creates enforceable obligations between the Group and its customer. When this condition is met, the order is recognised at the contract value. If the contract is denominated in a currency other than the functional currency of the reporting unit, the Group requires the immediate elimination of currency exposure using forward currency sales. Orders are then measured using the spot rate at inception of hedging instruments.
• Book-to-Bill
The book-to-bill ratio is the ratio of orders received to the amount of sales traded for a specific period.
• Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA
Adjusted Gross Margin before PPA is a KPI that presents the level of recurring operational performance. It represents the sales minus the cost of sales, adjusted to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the PPA in the context of business combination as well as significant, non-recurring “one off” items that are not expected to occur again in subsequent years
• Adjusted EBIT
Adjusted EBIT (“aEBIT”) is the Key Performance Indicator to present the level of recurring operational performance. This indicator is also aligned with market practice and comparable to direct competitors.
Starting September 2019, Alstom has opted for the inclusion of the share in net income of the equity-accounted investments into the aEBIT when these are considered to be part of the operating activities of the Group (because there are significant operational flows and/or common project execution with these entities). This mainly includes Chinese joint ventures, namely CASCO joint venture for Alstom as well as, following the integration of Bombardier Transportation, Alstom Sifang (Qingdao) Transportation Ltd., Jiangsu Alstom NUG Propulsion System Co. Ltd aEBIT corresponds to Earning Before Interests and Tax adjusted for the following elements:
• net restructuring expenses (including rationalisation costs);
• tangibles and intangibles impairment;
• capital gains or loss/revaluation on investments disposals or controls changes of an entity;
• any other non-recurring items, such as some costs incurred to realise business combinations and amortisation of an asset exclusively valued in the context of business combination, as well as litigation costs that have arisen outside the ordinary course of business;
• and including the share in net income of the operational equity-accounted investments.
A non-recurring item is a “one-off” exceptional item that is not supposed to occur again in following years and that is significant.
Adjusted EBIT margin corresponds to Adjusted EBIT expressed as a percentage of sales.
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
definitions (2/3)
● EBIT before PPA
Following the Bombardier Transportation acquisition and with effect from the fiscal year 2021/22 condensed consolidated financial statements, Alstom decided to introduce the “EBIT before PPA” indicator aimed at restating its Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (“EBIT”) to exclude the impact of amortisation of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations (“PPA”) in the context of business combination. This indicator is also aligned with market practice.
● Adjusted net profit
The “Adjusted Net Profit” indicator aims at restating the Alstom’s net profit from continued operations (Group share) to exclude the impact of amortisation & impairment of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations (“PPA”) in the context of business combination, net of the corresponding tax effect.
● Free cash flow
Free Cash Flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures including capitalised development costs, net of proceeds from disposals of tangible and intangible assets. Free Cash Flow does not include any proceeds from disposals of activity.
The most directly comparable financial measure to Free Cash Flow calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS is net cash provided by operating activities.
● Net cash/(debt)
The net cash/(debt) is defined as cash and cash equivalents, marketable securities and other current financial asset, less borrowings
● Organic basis
This presentation includes performance indicators presented on an actual basis and on an organic basis. Figures given on an organic basis eliminate the impact of changes in scope of consolidation and changes resulting from the translation of the accounts into Euro following the variation of foreign currencies against the Euro.
The Group uses figures prepared on an organic basis both for internal analysis and for external communication, as it believes they provide means to analyse and explain variations from one period to another. However, these figures are not measurements of performance under IFRS.
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
definitions (3/3)
● Gross margin % on backlog
Gross Margin % on backlog is a KPI that presents the expected performance level of firm contracts in backlog. It represents the difference between the sales not yet recognized and the cost of sales not yet incurred from the contracts in backlog. This % is an average of the portfolio of contracts in backlog and is meaningful to project mid- and long-term profitability.
● EBITDA + JV dividends
EBITDA before PPA plus dividends from joint ventures is the EBIT before PPA, before depreciation and amortisation, with the addition of the dividends received from joint ventures.
● Funds from Operations
Funds from Operations “FFO” in the EBIT to FCF statement refers to the Free Cash Flow generated by Operations, less Working Capital variations.
● Contract and Trade Working Capital
Contract Working Capital is the sum of:
• Contract Assets & Liabilities, which includes the Customer Down-Payments
• Current provisions, which includes Risks on contracts and Warranties
Trade Working Capital is the Working Capital that is not strictly related to contract. It includes all the elements of the working capital but
• Contract Working Capital
• Income Tax receivables and payables
• Restructuring provisions
.
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
Non-linear aEBIT margin trajectory with impact of restructuring plan kicking in during second half of FY 2024/25
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
Capital allocation priorities
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Net debt as of March 2024 | Deleveraging plan | FFO | Leases and Hybrid coupon | Trade working capital changes | Contract working capital changes | Net debt as of March 2026 | |||||||||
Graph not at scale, for illustration purposes
© ALSTOM SA 2024. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
Guidance for FY 2024/25 and mid-term ambitions
45